Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC Betting tips for January 17 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC, Friday, 17/1/2025

📅 17/1/2025 01:00

Correcaminos 2.22

X 3.54

Tlaxcala FC 2.72

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC

Some important points for the tip for Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Correcaminos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tlaxcala FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC, with Correcaminos as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Correcaminos matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Tlaxcala FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Correcaminos conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Tlaxcala FC.

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Analysis from Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 17 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1246743 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC

Should you bet on Correcaminos?

🔵 Correcaminos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $475.80
• And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$134.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $736.60
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$26.60. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on Tlaxcala FC?

🔴 Tlaxcala FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $550.40
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$129.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Correcaminos
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Correcaminos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Correcaminos.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Tlaxcala FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.