Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC Betting tips for March 1 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC, Friday, 1/3/2024

📅 1/3/2024 23:00

Correcaminos 1.55

X 3.60

Tlaxcala FC 5.34

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC:

🔮 Correcaminos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Correcaminos, you can win up to $775.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Correcaminos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $165.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tlaxcala FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Tlaxcala FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC, with Correcaminos as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Tlaxcala FC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Correcaminos conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Tlaxcala FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Correcaminos conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Tlaxcala FC.

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Analysis from Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 1 of March

When the best bet on Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1067767 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC

Is it worth betting on Correcaminos?

🔵 Correcaminos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 66.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 670 times – having a profit of $368.50;
• And would lose other 330 times – having a loss of -$330.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$38.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $598.00;
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$172.00.

Is betting on Tlaxcala FC worth it?

🔴 Tlaxcala FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 100 times – profiting $434.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$466.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Correcaminos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Correcaminos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Correcaminos.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Tlaxcala FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Correcaminos x Tlaxcala FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.