Correcaminos x Venados FC Betting tips for March 21 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Correcaminos x Venados FC, Friday, 21/3/2025

📅 21/3/2025 01:00

Correcaminos 2.80

X 3.50

Venados FC 2.15

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Correcaminos x Venados FC:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!

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The main points for the tip for Correcaminos x Venados FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Correcaminos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $440.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Venados FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-220.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Correcaminos scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Venados FC, Correcaminos scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Correcaminos matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Correcaminos received red cards as the home team in all the last 3 head-to-head matches against Venados FC. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Correcaminos conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Venados FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Correcaminos conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Venados FC.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Correcaminos x Venados FC?

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Analysis from Correcaminos x Venados FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 21 of March

When the best bet on Correcaminos x Venados FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1284678 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Correcaminos x Venados FC

Is it worth betting on Correcaminos?

🔵 Correcaminos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $432.00;
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$328.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $925.00;
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$295.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Venados FC?

🔴 Venados FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $448.50;
• And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$161.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Correcaminos x Venados FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Correcaminos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Correcaminos x Venados FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Correcaminos and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Correcaminos.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Correcaminos x Venados FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.