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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Cosenza x Modena Betting tips for November 22 in Italy Serie B
Friday, 22 November 2024, 19h30 Italy Serie B
Cosenza Cosenza
PREDICTION No tip
Modena Modena
Don't miss this prediction!

Cosenza x Modena Betting tips for November 22 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Cosenza x Modena, Friday, 22/11/2024
πŸ“… 22/11/2024
19:30
Cosenza Cosenza
2.55
X
2.96
Modena Modena
2.88

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cosenza x Modena:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Cosenza x Modena

Some important points for the tip for Cosenza x Modena:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cosenza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Modena in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Cosenza matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Cosenza conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Modena conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Cosenza x Modena?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cosenza x Modena, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Cosenza x Modena for the Italy Serie B – 22 of November

🏟️ Cosenza X Modena – Italy Serie B
πŸ“… 22 of November, 2024 – 19:30
πŸ”΅ Cosenza – Winning probability: 37.24% | Fair line: 2.69
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.25% | Fair line: 3.01
πŸ”΄ Modena – Winning probability: 29.51% | Fair line: 3.39
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cosenza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cosenza x Modena is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225593 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cosenza x Modena

Is it worth betting on Cosenza?

πŸ”΅ Cosenza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $573.50;
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$56.50.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $646.80
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$23.20.

Is betting on Modena worth it?

πŸ”΄ Modena: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $564.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$136.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cosenza x Modena

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cosenza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cosenza x Modena

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Cosenza and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Cosenza.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Cosenza.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cosenza x Modena

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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