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Home » Predictions » Others » Costa D’Amalfi x Ischia Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Costa D’Amalfi Costa D’Amalfi
PREDICTION No tip
Ischia Ischia
Don't miss this prediction!

Costa D’Amalfi x Ischia Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Costa D’Amalfi x Ischia, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
13:30
Costa D’Amalfi Costa D’Amalfi
2.78
X
3.08
Ischia Ischia
2.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Costa D’Amalfi x Ischia:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Costa D’Amalfi x Ischia

Some important points for the tip for Costa D’Amalfi x Ischia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Costa D’Amalfi in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 Costa D’Amalfi matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Ischia matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Ischia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Costa D’Amalfi x Ischia for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December

🏟️ Costa D’Amalfi X Ischia – Italy Serie D
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 Costa D’Amalfi – Winning probability: 23.92% | Fair line: 4.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.77% | Fair line: 3.05
🔴 Ischia – Winning probability: 43.31% | Fair line: 2.31
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Costa D’Amalfi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Costa D’Amalfi and Ischia.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Costa D’Amalfi x Ischia

Is it worth betting on Costa D’Amalfi?

🔵 Costa D’Amalfi: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $427.20;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$332.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $686.40
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$16.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on Ischia?

🔴 Ischia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $559.00;
  • And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$11.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Costa D’Amalfi x Ischia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Costa D’Amalfi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Costa D’Amalfi x Ischia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Costa D’Amalfi and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Costa D’Amalfi.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Ischia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Costa D’Amalfi x Ischia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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