Costa Rica x Panama Betting tips for November 15 in CONCACAF Nations League

Our betting tip for Costa Rica x Panama, Friday, 15/11/2024

📅 15/11/2024 02:00

Costa Rica 2.40

X 3.08

Panama 2.85

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Costa Rica x Panama:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Costa Rica x Panama

Some important points for the tip for Costa Rica x Panama: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Costa Rica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $325.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Panama in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-345.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Costa Rica scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Costa Rica matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Panama conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Costa Rica conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Panama. 👉 Costa Rica is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Panama as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches. 👉 Even as a visitor, Panama won the last 3 head-to-head matches Costa Rica´s territory

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Analysis from Costa Rica x Panama for the CONCACAF Nations League – 15 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Costa Rica x Panama right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1221188 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Costa Rica x Panama

Is betting on Costa Rica worth it?

🔵 Costa Rica: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 440 times – profiting $616.00;
• And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$56.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$76.00.

Is betting on Panama worth it?

🔴 Panama: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $499.50;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$230.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Costa Rica x Panama

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Costa Rica
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Costa Rica x Panama

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Costa Rica and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Costa Rica.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Panama.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Costa Rica x Panama

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.