Covadonga x LEntregu CF Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Tercera Group 2
| 📅 14/12/2025 11:00 |
 Covadonga1.49 |
X 3.80 |
LEntregu CF  5.70 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Covadonga x LEntregu CF:
🔮 Covadonga wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Covadonga, you can win up to $745.00!
The main points for the tip for Covadonga x LEntregu CF:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Covadonga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $286.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on LEntregu CF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-325.0.
👉 Covadonga did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Covadonga scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, LEntregu CF scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Covadonga matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, LEntregu CF conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Covadonga is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
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Analysis from Covadonga x LEntregu CF for the Spain Tercera Group 2 – 14 of December
🏟️ Covadonga X LEntregu CF – Spain Tercera Group 2
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Covadonga – Winning probability: 80.36% | Fair line: 1.24
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.81% | Fair line: 7.24
🔴 LEntregu CF – Winning probability: 5.82% | Fair line: 17.17
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Covadonga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Covadonga and LEntregu CF.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Covadonga x LEntregu CF
Is it worth betting on Covadonga?
🔵 Covadonga: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 800 times – this would give you a profit of $392.00
- And would lose other 200 times – losing -$200.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$192.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – profiting $392.00;
- And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$468.00.
Should you bet on LEntregu CF?
🔴 LEntregu CF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $282.00
- And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$658.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Covadonga x LEntregu CF
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Covadonga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Covadonga x LEntregu CF
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Covadonga, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Covadonga.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Covadonga.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Covadonga x LEntregu CF
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
