Crawley Town x Birmingham Betting tips for December 23 in England League 1

Our betting tip for Crawley Town x Birmingham, Monday, 23/12/2024

📅 23/12/2024 20:00

Crawley Town 6.78

X 4.68

Birmingham 1.40

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Crawley Town x Birmingham:

🔮 Birmingham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Birmingham, you can win up to $700.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Crawley Town x Birmingham: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Crawley Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $175.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Birmingham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $219.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Crawley Town scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Birmingham scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Birmingham matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Birmingham conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Birmingham is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Crawley Town x Birmingham?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Crawley Town x Birmingham, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Crawley Town x Birmingham for the England League 1 – 23 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Crawley Town x Birmingham right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1239281 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Crawley Town x Birmingham

Is betting on Crawley Town worth it?

🔵 Crawley Town: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $173.40;
• And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$796.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $257.60;
• And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$672.40.

Is betting on Birmingham worth it?

🔴 Birmingham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 89.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 900 times – this would give you a profit of $360.00
• And would have lost other 100 times – with a loss of -$100.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$260.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Crawley Town x Birmingham

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Crawley Town
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crawley Town x Birmingham

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Crawley Town, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Crawley Town.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Crawley Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crawley Town x Birmingham

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.