CRB x Mirassol Betting tips for October 22 in Brazil Serie B
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22/10/2024 22:00 |
 CRB2.43 |
X 2.80 |
Mirassol  3.10 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CRB x Mirassol:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for CRB x Mirassol
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Some important points for the tip for CRB x Mirassol: π If you had bet $100 on CRB in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-34.0. |
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Analysis from CRB x Mirassol for the Brazil Serie B – 22 of October
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ποΈ CRB X Mirassol – Brazil Serie B |
When the best bet on CRB x Mirassol is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1205088 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for CRB x Mirassol
Is it a good idea to bet on CRB?
π΅ CRB: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.43. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 360 times – profiting $514.80;
- And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$125.20.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 340 times – profiting $612.00;
- And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$48.00.
Is betting on Mirassol worth it?
π΄ Mirassol: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $609.00;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$101.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match CRB x Mirassol
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CRB
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CRB x Mirassol
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 CRB and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 CRB.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 CRB.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CRB x Mirassol
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
