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Home » Predictions » Cremonese x AC Reggiana Betting tips for February 10 in Italy Serie B
Saturday, 10 February 2024, 13h00 Italy Serie B
Cremonese Cremonese
PREDICTION Cremonese wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
AC Reggiana AC Reggiana
ODD: @1.51 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Cremonese x AC Reggiana Betting tips for February 10 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Cremonese x AC Reggiana, Saturday, 10/2/2024
📅 10/2/2024
13:00
Cremonese Cremonese
1.51
X
4.00
AC Reggiana AC Reggiana
5.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cremonese x AC Reggiana:

🔮 Cremonese wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cremonese, you can win up to $755.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Cremonese x AC Reggiana:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cremonese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $337.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Reggiana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $295.0.
👉 Cremonese did not concede a goal in the last 6 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Cremonese scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, AC Reggiana scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Cremonese is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, AC Reggiana has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cremonese x AC Reggiana for the Italy Serie B – 10 of February

🏟️ Cremonese X AC Reggiana – Italy Serie B
📅 10 of February, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Cremonese – Winning probability: 77.31% | Fair line: 1.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.18% | Fair line: 5.82
🔴 AC Reggiana – Winning probability: 5.51% | Fair line: 18.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Cremonese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cremonese x AC Reggiana is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1054913 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cremonese x AC Reggiana

Is it a good idea to bet on Cremonese?

🔵 Cremonese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – profiting $392.70;
  • And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$162.70.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$320.00.

Is it worth betting on AC Reggiana?

🔴 AC Reggiana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $294.00;
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$646.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cremonese x AC Reggiana

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Cremonese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cremonese x AC Reggiana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Cremonese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Cremonese.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Cremonese.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cremonese x AC Reggiana

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves