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Home » Predictions » Others » Cremonese x Brescia Betting tips for December 29 in Italy Serie B
Sunday, 29 December 2024, 11h30 Italy Serie B
Cremonese Cremonese
PREDICTION Cremonese wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
Brescia Brescia
ODD: @1.73 Don't miss this prediction!

Cremonese x Brescia Betting tips for December 29 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Cremonese x Brescia, Sunday, 29/12/2024
📅 29/12/2024
11:30
Cremonese Cremonese
1.73
X
3.50
Brescia Brescia
4.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cremonese x Brescia:

🔮 Cremonese wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cremonese, you can win up to $865.00!

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The main points for the tip for Cremonese x Brescia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cremonese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-145.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Brescia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Brescia, Cremonese scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Cremonese matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Cremonese has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Brescia playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cremonese x Brescia for the Italy Serie B – 29 of December

🏟️ Cremonese X Brescia – Italy Serie B
📅 29 of December, 2024 – 11:30
🔵 Cremonese – Winning probability: 67.72% | Fair line: 1.48
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.77% | Fair line: 4.21
🔴 Brescia – Winning probability: 8.50% | Fair line: 11.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Cremonese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cremonese x Brescia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1240337 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cremonese x Brescia

Should you bet on Cremonese?

🔵 Cremonese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $496.40
  • And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$176.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Is betting on Brescia worth it?

🔴 Brescia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $337.50;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$572.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cremonese x Brescia

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Cremonese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cremonese x Brescia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Cremonese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Cremonese.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cremonese x Brescia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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