Cremonese x Lecco Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Serie B
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25/11/2023 13:00 |
![]() 1.40 |
X 4.33 |
Lecco ![]() 7.00 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cremonese x Lecco:
๐ฎ Cremonese wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cremonese, you can win up to $700.00!
Some important points for the tip for Cremonese x Lecco: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Cremonese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-136.0. |
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Cremonese x Lecco
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Analysis from Cremonese x Lecco for the Italy Serie B – 25 of November
๐๏ธ Cremonese X Lecco – Italy Serie B |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cremonese x Lecco right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Cremonese x Lecco
Is it worth betting on Cremonese?
๐ต Cremonese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 82.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 820 times – having a profit of $328.00;
- And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$148.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $499.50
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$350.50.
Is betting on Lecco worth it?
๐ด Lecco: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 30 times – profiting $180.00;
- And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$790.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cremonese x Lecco
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Cremonese
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cremonese x Lecco
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Cremonese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Cremonese.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cremonese x Lecco
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.