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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Cremonese x Lecco Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Serie B
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Italy Serie B
Cremonese Cremonese
PREDICTION Cremonese wins Probability 2% 1 X 2
Lecco Lecco
ODD: @1.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Cremonese x Lecco Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Cremonese x Lecco, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
13:00
Cremonese Cremonese
1.40
X
4.33
Lecco Lecco
7.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cremonese x Lecco:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Cremonese wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cremonese, you can win up to $700.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Cremonese x Lecco:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cremonese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-136.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lecco in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $975.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lecco scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Lecco conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Lecco has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Cremonese x Lecco

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Summary

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2023. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Cremonese x Lecco for the Italy Serie B – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Cremonese X Lecco – Italy Serie B
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 13:00
๐Ÿ”ต Cremonese – Winning probability: 82.25% | Fair line: 1.22
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.15% | Fair line: 6.6
๐Ÿ”ด Lecco – Winning probability: 2.61% | Fair line: 38.38
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Cremonese
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cremonese x Lecco right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cremonese x Lecco

Is it worth betting on Cremonese?

๐Ÿ”ต Cremonese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 82.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 820 times – having a profit of $328.00;
  • And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$148.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $499.50
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$350.50.

Is betting on Lecco worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Lecco: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – profiting $180.00;
  • And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$790.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Cremonese x Lecco

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Cremonese
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cremonese x Lecco

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Cremonese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Cremonese.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cremonese x Lecco

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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