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Home » Predictions » Others » Crevillente x Patacona CF Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 6
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 13h00 Spain Tercera Group 6
Crevillente Crevillente
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
Patacona CF Patacona CF
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Crevillente x Patacona CF Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 6

Our betting tip for Crevillente x Patacona CF, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
13:00
Crevillente Crevillente
2.19
X
3.20
Patacona CF Patacona CF
2.92

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Crevillente x Patacona CF:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!

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The main points for the tip for Crevillente x Patacona CF:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Crevillente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Patacona CF scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Patacona CF matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Patacona CF conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Crevillente x Patacona CF?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Crevillente x Patacona CF, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Crevillente x Patacona CF for the Spain Tercera Group 6 – 29 of September

🏟️ Crevillente X Patacona CF – Spain Tercera Group 6
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Crevillente – Winning probability: 45.69% | Fair line: 2.19
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.92% | Fair line: 3.04
🔴 Patacona CF – Winning probability: 21.39% | Fair line: 4.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Crevillente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Crevillente x Patacona CF is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Crevillente x Patacona CF

Should you bet on Crevillente?

🔵 Crevillente: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.19. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $547.40;
  • And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$7.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $726.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$56.00.

Should you bet on Patacona CF?

🔴 Patacona CF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $403.20;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$386.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Crevillente x Patacona CF

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Crevillente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crevillente x Patacona CF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Crevillente and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Crevillente.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crevillente x Patacona CF

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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