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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Crewe x Harrogate Town Betting tips for October 8 in England EFL Trophy
Tuesday, 08 October 2024, 15h45 England EFL Trophy
Crewe Crewe
PREDICTION Crewe wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Harrogate Town Harrogate Town
ODD: @1.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Crewe x Harrogate Town Betting tips for October 8 in England EFL Trophy

Our betting tip for Crewe x Harrogate Town, Tuesday, 8/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 8/10/2024
15:45
Crewe Crewe
1.85
X
3.42
Harrogate Town Harrogate Town
3.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Crewe x Harrogate Town:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Crewe wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crewe, you can win up to $925.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Crewe x Harrogate Town:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Crewe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $333.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Harrogate Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Crewe did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Harrogate Town did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Crewe scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Crewe is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Crewe has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Harrogate Town playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Crewe x Harrogate Town?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Crewe x Harrogate Town for the England EFL Trophy – 8 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Crewe X Harrogate Town – England EFL Trophy
๐Ÿ“… 8 of October, 2024 – 15:45
๐Ÿ”ต Crewe – Winning probability: 60.10% | Fair line: 1.66
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.56% | Fair line: 6.04
๐Ÿ”ด Harrogate Town – Winning probability: 23.34% | Fair line: 4.28
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Crewe
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Crewe x Harrogate Town right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1195698 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Crewe x Harrogate Town

Is betting on Crewe worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Crewe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – profiting $510.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times – having a loss of -$400.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$110.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $411.40
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$418.60.

Is it worth betting on Harrogate Town?

๐Ÿ”ด Harrogate Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $621.00
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$149.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Crewe x Harrogate Town

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Crewe
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crewe x Harrogate Town

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Crewe and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Crewe.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Crewe.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crewe x Harrogate Town

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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