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Home » Predictions » Others » Crewe x Harrogate Town Betting tips for October 8 in England EFL Trophy
Tuesday, 08 October 2024, 15h45 England EFL Trophy
Crewe Crewe
PREDICTION Harrogate Town Wins Probability 30% 1 X 2
Harrogate Town Harrogate Town
ODD: @3.6 Don't miss this prediction!

Crewe x Harrogate Town Betting tips for October 8 in England EFL Trophy

Our betting tip for Crewe x Harrogate Town, Tuesday, 8/10/2024
📅 8/10/2024
15:45
Crewe Crewe
1.91
X
3.40
Harrogate Town Harrogate Town
3.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Crewe x Harrogate Town:

🔮 Harrogate Town wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Harrogate Town, you can win up to $1800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Crewe x Harrogate Town:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Crewe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $333.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Harrogate Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
👉 Crewe did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 Harrogate Town did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Crewe scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Crewe is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Crewe has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Harrogate Town playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Crewe x Harrogate Town?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Crewe x Harrogate Town, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Crewe x Harrogate Town for the England EFL Trophy – 8 of October

🏟️ Crewe X Harrogate Town – England EFL Trophy
📅 8 of October, 2024 – 15:45
🔵 Crewe – Winning probability: 52.51% | Fair line: 1.9
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.41% | Fair line: 5.74
🔴 Harrogate Town – Winning probability: 30.08% | Fair line: 3.32
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Crewe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Crewe and Harrogate Town.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1196658 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Crewe x Harrogate Town

Is it worth betting on Crewe?

🔵 Crewe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $482.30
  • And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$12.30, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $408.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$422.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Harrogate Town?

🔴 Harrogate Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $780.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$80.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Crewe x Harrogate Town

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Crewe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crewe x Harrogate Town

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Crewe, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Crewe.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Harrogate Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crewe x Harrogate Town

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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