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Home » Predictions » Others » CSD Municipal x Antigua GFC Betting tips for December 1 in Guatemala Liga Nacional
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 20h00 Guatemala Liga Nacional
CSD Municipal CSD Municipal
PREDICTION CSD Municipal wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Antigua GFC Antigua GFC
ODD: @1.49 Don't miss this prediction!

CSD Municipal x Antigua GFC Betting tips for December 1 in Guatemala Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for CSD Municipal x Antigua GFC, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
20:00
CSD Municipal CSD Municipal
1.49
X
3.65
Antigua GFC Antigua GFC
5.83

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CSD Municipal x Antigua GFC:

🔮 CSD Municipal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CSD Municipal, you can win up to $745.00!

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Important information for your tip for CSD Municipal x Antigua GFC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CSD Municipal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $29.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Antigua GFC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $485.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, CSD Municipal scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Antigua GFC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, CSD Municipal conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Antigua GFC.

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Summary

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Analysis from CSD Municipal x Antigua GFC for the Guatemala Liga Nacional – 1 of December

🏟️ CSD Municipal X Antigua GFC – Guatemala Liga Nacional
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 CSD Municipal – Winning probability: 81.80% | Fair line: 1.22
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.90% | Fair line: 7.19
🔴 Antigua GFC – Winning probability: 4.30% | Fair line: 23.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CSD Municipal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CSD Municipal x Antigua GFC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CSD Municipal x Antigua GFC

Is it worth betting on CSD Municipal?

🔵 CSD Municipal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 81.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.49. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 820 times – having a profit of $401.80;
  • And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$221.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $371.00
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$489.00.

Is it worth betting on Antigua GFC?

🔴 Antigua GFC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $193.20
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$766.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CSD Municipal x Antigua GFC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CSD Municipal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CSD Municipal x Antigua GFC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 CSD Municipal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 CSD Municipal.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Antigua GFC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CSD Municipal x Antigua GFC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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