Curzon Ashton x Southport Betting tips for November 26 in England National League North

Our betting tip for Curzon Ashton x Southport, Tuesday, 26/11/2024

📅 26/11/2024 19:45

Curzon Ashton 1.80

X 3.40

Southport 4.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Curzon Ashton x Southport:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Curzon Ashton x Southport

Some important points for the tip for Curzon Ashton x Southport: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Curzon Ashton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0. 👉 In the last 3 Southport matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Curzon Ashton conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Curzon Ashton has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Southport playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Curzon Ashton x Southport?

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Analysis from Curzon Ashton x Southport for the England National League North – 26 of November

When the best bet on Curzon Ashton x Southport is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1227868 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Curzon Ashton x Southport

Is it worth betting on Curzon Ashton?

🔵 Curzon Ashton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $424.00;
• And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$46.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $696.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$14.00.

Is betting on Southport worth it?

🔴 Southport: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Curzon Ashton x Southport

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Curzon Ashton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Curzon Ashton x Southport

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Curzon Ashton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Curzon Ashton.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Southport.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Curzon Ashton x Southport

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.