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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Dag & Red x Rochdale Betting tips for November 25 in England National League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England National League
Dag & Red Dag & Red
PREDICTION No tip
Rochdale Rochdale
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Dag & Red x Rochdale Betting tips for November 25 in England National League

Our betting tip for Dag & Red x Rochdale, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Dag & Red Dag & Red
2.40
X
3.36
Rochdale Rochdale
2.55

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Dag & Red x Rochdale:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Dag & Red x Rochdale

The main points for the tip for Dag & Red x Rochdale:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Dag & Red in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Rochdale in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Dag & Red scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Dag & Red matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Dag & Red conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Rochdale conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Dag & Red x Rochdale

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Summary

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Analysis from Dag & Red x Rochdale for the England National League – 25 of November

🏟️ Dag & Red X Rochdale – England National League
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Dag & Red – Winning probability: 33.68% | Fair line: 2.97
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.87% | Fair line: 3.87
πŸ”΄ Rochdale – Winning probability: 40.45% | Fair line: 2.47
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Dag & Red
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Dag & Red and Rochdale.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Dag & Red x Rochdale

Is it worth betting on Dag & Red?

πŸ”΅ Dag & Red: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $476.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$184.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $613.60;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$126.40.

Is betting on Rochdale worth it?

πŸ”΄ Rochdale: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $620.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$20.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Dag & Red x Rochdale

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Dag & Red
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dag & Red x Rochdale

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Dag & Red and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Dag & Red.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Rochdale.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dag & Red x Rochdale

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves