Dandenong Thunder x Avondale Betting tips for March 22 in Australia NPL Victoria

Our betting tip for Dandenong Thunder x Avondale, Saturday, 22/3/2025

📅 22/3/2025 09:15

Dandenong Thunder 4.60

X 3.98

Avondale 1.57

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Dandenong Thunder x Avondale:

🔮 Avondale wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Avondale, you can win up to $785.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Dandenong Thunder x Avondale: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dandenong Thunder in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $415.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Avondale in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $401.0. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Dandenong Thunder scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Avondale scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Avondale matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Dandenong Thunder x Avondale, with Dandenong Thunder as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Avondale conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Dandenong Thunder conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Avondale. 👉 Avondale is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 5 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Dandenong Thunder x Avondale?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Dandenong Thunder x Avondale, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Dandenong Thunder x Avondale for the Australia NPL Victoria – 22 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Dandenong Thunder and Avondale.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1285561 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Dandenong Thunder x Avondale

Should you bet on Dandenong Thunder?

🔵 Dandenong Thunder: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $180.00;
• And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$770.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $208.60;
• And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$721.40.

Is betting on Avondale worth it?

🔴 Avondale: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 88.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 890 times – this would give you a profit of $507.30
• And would have lost other 110 times – with a loss of -$110.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$397.30.

Handicaps analysis for the match Dandenong Thunder x Avondale

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Dandenong Thunder
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dandenong Thunder x Avondale

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Dandenong Thunder and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Dandenong Thunder.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dandenong Thunder x Avondale

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.