Danubio x Nacional De Football Betting tips for November 27 in Uruguay Clausura
| 📅 27/11/2024 19:30 |
 Danubio5.75 |
X 4.00 |
Nacional De Football  1.50 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Danubio x Nacional De Football:
🔮 Nacional De Football wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nacional De Football, you can win up to $750.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Danubio x Nacional De Football: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Danubio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-69.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Danubio x Nacional De Football?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Danubio x Nacional De Football, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Danubio x Nacional De Football for the Uruguay Clausura – 27 of November
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🏟️ Danubio X Nacional De Football – Uruguay Clausura |
When the best bet on Danubio x Nacional De Football is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1227868 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Danubio x Nacional De Football
Is it worth betting on Danubio?
🔵 Danubio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $237.50
- And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$712.50.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$480.00.
Is betting on Nacional De Football worth it?
🔴 Nacional De Football: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 82.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 830 times – having a profit of $415.00;
- And would have lost other 170 times – with a loss of -$170.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$245.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Danubio x Nacional De Football
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Danubio
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Danubio x Nacional De Football
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Danubio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Danubio.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Nacional De Football.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Danubio x Nacional De Football
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
