Danubio x Penarol Betting tips for April 5 in Uruguay Apertura
| 📅 5/4/2025 19:00 |
 Danubio3.73 |
X 3.45 |
Penarol  1.87 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Danubio x Penarol:
🔮 Penarol wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Penarol, you can win up to $935.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Danubio x Penarol: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Danubio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Danubio x Penarol?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Danubio x Penarol:
Analysis from Danubio x Penarol for the Uruguay Apertura – 5 of April
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🏟️ Danubio X Penarol – Uruguay Apertura |
When the best bet on Danubio x Penarol is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1295985 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Danubio x Penarol
Is it worth betting on Danubio?
🔵 Danubio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $491.40
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $661.50;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$68.50.
Should you bet on Penarol?
🔴 Penarol: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $478.50
- And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$28.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Danubio x Penarol
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Danubio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Danubio x Penarol
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Danubio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Danubio.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Danubio x Penarol
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
