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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป De Treffers x Almere City Reserves Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Tweede Divisie
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Netherlands Tweede Divisie
De Treffers De Treffers
PREDICTION De Treffers wins Probability 3% 1 X 2
Almere City Reserves Almere City Reserves
ODD: @1.4 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

De Treffers x Almere City Reserves Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Tweede Divisie

Our betting tip for De Treffers x Almere City Reserves, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
17:00
De Treffers De Treffers
1.40
X
4.05
Almere City Reserves Almere City Reserves
6.55

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for De Treffers x Almere City Reserves:

๐Ÿ”ฎ De Treffers wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on De Treffers, you can win up to $700.00!

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The main points for the tip for De Treffers x Almere City Reserves:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on De Treffers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $166.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Almere City Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, De Treffers scored at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for De Treffers x Almere City Reserves

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Summary

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Analysis from De Treffers x Almere City Reserves for the Netherlands Tweede Divisie – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ De Treffers X Almere City Reserves – Netherlands Tweede Divisie
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 17:00
๐Ÿ”ต De Treffers – Winning probability: 81.24% | Fair line: 1.23
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.28% | Fair line: 6.54
๐Ÿ”ด Almere City Reserves – Winning probability: 3.48% | Fair line: 28.73
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 De Treffers
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for De Treffers x Almere City Reserves right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for De Treffers x Almere City Reserves

Is betting on De Treffers worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต De Treffers: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 81.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 810 times – having a profit of $324.00;
  • And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$134.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $457.50;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$392.50.

Is betting on Almere City Reserves worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Almere City Reserves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $166.50
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$803.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match De Treffers x Almere City Reserves

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 De Treffers
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for De Treffers x Almere City Reserves

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 De Treffers, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 De Treffers.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Almere City Reserves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for De Treffers x Almere City Reserves

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves