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Home » Predictions » Others » Defensa y Justicia x River Plate Betting tips for October 26 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Saturday, 26 October 2024, 00h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia
PREDICTION River Plate Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
River Plate River Plate
ODD: @2.07 Don't miss this prediction!

Defensa y Justicia x River Plate Betting tips for October 26 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Defensa y Justicia x River Plate, Saturday, 26/10/2024
📅 26/10/2024
00:00
Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia
3.46
X
3.19
River Plate River Plate
2.07

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Defensa y Justicia x River Plate:

🔮 River Plate wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on River Plate, you can win up to $1035.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Defensa y Justicia x River Plate:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Defensa y Justicia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $145.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on River Plate in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Defensa y Justicia x River Plate?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Defensa y Justicia x River Plate:

Analysis from Defensa y Justicia x River Plate for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 26 of October

🏟️ Defensa y Justicia X River Plate – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 26 of October, 2024 – 00:00
🔵 Defensa y Justicia – Winning probability: 15.29% | Fair line: 6.54
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.23% | Fair line: 3.81
🔴 River Plate – Winning probability: 58.48% | Fair line: 1.71
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Defensa y Justicia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Defensa y Justicia and River Plate.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1208023 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Defensa y Justicia x River Plate

Is betting on Defensa y Justicia worth it?

🔵 Defensa y Justicia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $369.00
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$481.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.19. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $569.40;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$170.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on River Plate?

🔴 River Plate: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.07. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 580 times – having a profit of $620.60;
  • And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$200.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Defensa y Justicia x River Plate

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Defensa y Justicia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Defensa y Justicia x River Plate

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Defensa y Justicia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Defensa y Justicia. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Defensa y Justicia x River Plate

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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