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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Defensa y Justicia x San Lorenzo Betting tips for November 24 in Argentina Cup
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Argentina Cup
Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
ODD: @2.96 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Defensa y Justicia x San Lorenzo Betting tips for November 24 in Argentina Cup

Our betting tip for Defensa y Justicia x San Lorenzo, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
00:10
Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia
2.75
X
2.96
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
2.54

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Defensa y Justicia x San Lorenzo:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1480.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Defensa y Justicia x San Lorenzo:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Defensa y Justicia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on San Lorenzo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 San Lorenzo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia x San Lorenzo, with Defensa y Justicia as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Defensa y Justicia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Defensa y Justicia x San Lorenzo

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Defensa y Justicia x San Lorenzo?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2023. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Defensa y Justicia x San Lorenzo for the Argentina Cup – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Defensa y Justicia X San Lorenzo – Argentina Cup
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 00:10
๐Ÿ”ต Defensa y Justicia – Winning probability: 25.99% | Fair line: 3.85
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 38.59% | Fair line: 2.59
๐Ÿ”ด San Lorenzo – Winning probability: 35.42% | Fair line: 2.82
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Defensa y Justicia
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Defensa y Justicia and San Lorenzo.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Defensa y Justicia x San Lorenzo

Should you bet on Defensa y Justicia?

๐Ÿ”ต Defensa y Justicia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $455.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$285.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $764.40;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$154.40.

Is betting on San Lorenzo worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด San Lorenzo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.54. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $539.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$111.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Defensa y Justicia x San Lorenzo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Defensa y Justicia
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Defensa y Justicia x San Lorenzo

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Defensa y Justicia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Defensa y Justicia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Defensa y Justicia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Defensa y Justicia x San Lorenzo

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves