Defensor Sporting x Cerro Betting tips for April 14 in Uruguay Apertura
| 📅 14/4/2025 21:00 |
 Defensor Sporting1.82 |
X 3.30 |
Cerro  4.30 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Defensor Sporting x Cerro:
🔮 Defensor Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Defensor Sporting, you can win up to $910.00!
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Important information for your tip for Defensor Sporting x Cerro: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Defensor Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-95.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Defensor Sporting x Cerro?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Defensor Sporting x Cerro:
Analysis from Defensor Sporting x Cerro for the Uruguay Apertura – 14 of April
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🏟️ Defensor Sporting X Cerro – Uruguay Apertura |
When the best bet on Defensor Sporting x Cerro is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1304036 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Defensor Sporting x Cerro
Is betting on Defensor Sporting worth it?
🔵 Defensor Sporting: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 65.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 660 times – having a profit of $541.20;
- And would lose other 340 times – having a loss of -$340.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$201.20.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $552.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$208.00.
Is betting on Cerro worth it?
🔴 Cerro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $330.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$570.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Defensor Sporting x Cerro
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Defensor Sporting
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Defensor Sporting x Cerro
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Defensor Sporting and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Defensor Sporting.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Defensor Sporting x Cerro
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
