Defensor Sporting x Miramar Misiones Betting tips for April 1 in Uruguay Apertura

Our betting tip for Defensor Sporting x Miramar Misiones, Tuesday, 1/4/2025

📅 1/4/2025 00:15

Defensor Sporting 1.74

X 3.50

Miramar Misiones 4.28

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Defensor Sporting x Miramar Misiones:

🔮 Defensor Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Defensor Sporting, you can win up to $870.00!

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The main points for the tip for Defensor Sporting x Miramar Misiones: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Defensor Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-35.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Miramar Misiones in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Miramar Misiones scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Defensor Sporting matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Miramar Misiones matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Miramar Misiones conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Defensor Sporting x Miramar Misiones for the Uruguay Apertura – 1 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Defensor Sporting x Miramar Misiones right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1293334 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Defensor Sporting x Miramar Misiones

Should you bet on Defensor Sporting?

🔵 Defensor Sporting: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 640 times – profiting $473.60;
• And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$113.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $650.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$90.00.

Is betting on Miramar Misiones worth it?

🔴 Miramar Misiones: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $328.00
• And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$572.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Defensor Sporting x Miramar Misiones

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Defensor Sporting
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Defensor Sporting x Miramar Misiones

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Defensor Sporting, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Defensor Sporting.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Miramar Misiones.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Defensor Sporting x Miramar Misiones

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.