Delfin SC x Cumbaya FC Betting tips for November 30 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Our betting tip for Delfin SC x Cumbaya FC, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 20:30

Delfin SC 1.95

X 3.20

Cumbaya FC 3.61

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Delfin SC x Cumbaya FC:

🔮 Delfin SC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Delfin SC, you can win up to $975.00!

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The main points for the tip for Delfin SC x Cumbaya FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Delfin SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $80.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cumbaya FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Delfin SC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Cumbaya FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Delfin SC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Cumbaya FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Delfin SC x Cumbaya FC for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Delfin SC x Cumbaya FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230061 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Delfin SC x Cumbaya FC

Is it worth betting on Delfin SC?

🔵 Delfin SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 680 times – profiting $646.00;
• And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$326.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $374.00
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$456.00.

Is it worth betting on Cumbaya FC?

🔴 Cumbaya FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.61. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $391.50;
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$458.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Delfin SC x Cumbaya FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Delfin SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Delfin SC x Cumbaya FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Delfin SC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Delfin SC.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Delfin SC x Cumbaya FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.