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Home » Predictions » Others » Deportes Quindio x Boca Juniors De Cali Betting tips for October 8 in Colombia Primera B
Tuesday, 08 October 2024, 19h45 Colombia Primera B
Deportes Quindio Deportes Quindio
PREDICTION Deportes Quindio wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Boca Juniors De Cali Boca Juniors De Cali
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

Deportes Quindio x Boca Juniors De Cali Betting tips for October 8 in Colombia Primera B

Our betting tip for Deportes Quindio x Boca Juniors De Cali, Tuesday, 8/10/2024
📅 8/10/2024
19:45
Deportes Quindio Deportes Quindio
1.53
X
3.75
Boca Juniors De Cali Boca Juniors De Cali
5.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Deportes Quindio x Boca Juniors De Cali:

🔮 Deportes Quindio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportes Quindio, you can win up to $765.00!

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Important information for your tip for Deportes Quindio x Boca Juniors De Cali:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportes Quindio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-315.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Boca Juniors De Cali in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $300.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Boca Juniors De Cali, Deportes Quindio scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Deportes Quindio x Boca Juniors De Cali?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Deportes Quindio x Boca Juniors De Cali, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Deportes Quindio x Boca Juniors De Cali for the Colombia Primera B – 8 of October

🏟️ Deportes Quindio X Boca Juniors De Cali – Colombia Primera B
📅 8 of October, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Deportes Quindio – Winning probability: 74.91% | Fair line: 1.33
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.11% | Fair line: 5.52
🔴 Boca Juniors De Cali – Winning probability: 6.99% | Fair line: 14.32
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Deportes Quindio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportes Quindio x Boca Juniors De Cali right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1195698 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportes Quindio x Boca Juniors De Cali

Is betting on Deportes Quindio worth it?

🔵 Deportes Quindio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 750 times – this would give you a profit of $397.50
  • And would lose other 250 times – having a loss of -$250.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$147.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $495.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$325.00.

Is betting on Boca Juniors De Cali worth it?

🔴 Boca Juniors De Cali: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $315.00
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$615.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportes Quindio x Boca Juniors De Cali

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Deportes Quindio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportes Quindio x Boca Juniors De Cali

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Deportes Quindio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Deportes Quindio.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Deportes Quindio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportes Quindio x Boca Juniors De Cali

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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