Deportes Recoleta x Rangers de Talca Betting tips for November 26 in Chile Primera B

Our betting tip for Deportes Recoleta x Rangers de Talca, Tuesday, 26/11/2024

📅 26/11/2024 21:00

Deportes Recoleta 2.45

X 3.00

Rangers de Talca 2.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Deportes Recoleta x Rangers de Talca:

🔮 Rangers de Talca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rangers de Talca, you can win up to $1350.00!

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The main points for the tip for Deportes Recoleta x Rangers de Talca: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportes Recoleta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rangers de Talca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $255.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Deportes Recoleta scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Rangers de Talca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Rangers de Talca, Deportes Recoleta scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Rangers de Talca matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Deportes Recoleta x Rangers de Talca, with Deportes Recoleta as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Deportes Recoleta conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Rangers de Talca conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Deportes Recoleta conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Rangers de Talca.

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Analysis from Deportes Recoleta x Rangers de Talca for the Chile Primera B – 26 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportes Recoleta x Rangers de Talca right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1228745 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportes Recoleta x Rangers de Talca

Is it worth betting on Deportes Recoleta?

🔵 Deportes Recoleta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $377.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$363.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Should you bet on Rangers de Talca?

🔴 Rangers de Talca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $816.00;
• And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$296.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Deportes Recoleta x Rangers de Talca

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Deportes Recoleta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportes Recoleta x Rangers de Talca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Deportes Recoleta, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Deportes Recoleta.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Rangers de Talca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportes Recoleta x Rangers de Talca

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.