Deportes Tolima x Atletico Nacional Medellin Betting tips for December 19 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Deportes Tolima x Atletico Nacional Medellin, Thursday, 19/12/2024

📅 19/12/2024 00:30

Deportes Tolima 2.17

X 3.00

Atletico Nacional Medellin 3.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Deportes Tolima x Atletico Nacional Medellin:

🔮 Deportes Tolima wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportes Tolima, you can win up to $1085.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Deportes Tolima x Atletico Nacional Medellin: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportes Tolima in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $365.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Nacional Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $68.0. 👉 Deportes Tolima did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Deportes Tolima scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Atletico Nacional Medellin, Deportes Tolima scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Deportes Tolima matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Deportes Tolima is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Deportes Tolima has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Atletico Nacional Medellin playing at home.

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Analysis from Deportes Tolima x Atletico Nacional Medellin for the Colombia Primera A – 19 of December

When the best bet on Deportes Tolima x Atletico Nacional Medellin is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1238530 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportes Tolima x Atletico Nacional Medellin

Is betting on Deportes Tolima worth it?

🔵 Deportes Tolima: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $748.80
• And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$388.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $340.00
• And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$490.00.

Should you bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin?

🔴 Atletico Nacional Medellin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $437.00
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$373.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Deportes Tolima x Atletico Nacional Medellin

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportes Tolima
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportes Tolima x Atletico Nacional Medellin

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Deportes Tolima and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Deportes Tolima.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Deportes Tolima.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportes Tolima x Atletico Nacional Medellin

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.