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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Cali Betting tips for November 25 in Colombia Primera A
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Colombia Primera A
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 15% 1 X 2
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
ODD: @3.5 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Cali Betting tips for November 25 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Cali, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
22:00
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
1.73
X
3.50
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
4.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Cali:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Cali:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportes Tolima in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $363.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Cali in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Deportes Tolima scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Deportivo Cali, Deportes Tolima scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Deportivo Cali conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Deportes Tolima is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Cali

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Summary

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Analysis from Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Cali for the Colombia Primera A – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Deportes Tolima X Deportivo Cali – Colombia Primera A
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 22:00
๐Ÿ”ต Deportes Tolima – Winning probability: 51.75% | Fair line: 1.93
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.90% | Fair line: 3.04
๐Ÿ”ด Deportivo Cali – Winning probability: 15.34% | Fair line: 6.52
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportes Tolima
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Cali is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Cali

Is betting on Deportes Tolima worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Deportes Tolima: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $379.60;
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$100.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $825.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$155.00.

Is it worth betting on Deportivo Cali?

๐Ÿ”ด Deportivo Cali: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $525.00;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$325.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Cali

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportes Tolima
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Cali

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Deportes Tolima and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Deportes Tolima.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportes Tolima x Deportivo Cali

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves