Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC Betting tips for November 6 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC, Wednesday, 6/11/2024

📅 6/11/2024 01:20

Deportes Tolima 1.28

X 4.80

Envigado FC 10.04

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC:

🔮 Deportes Tolima wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportes Tolima, you can win up to $640.00!

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Important information for your tip for Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportes Tolima in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-205.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Envigado FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Envigado FC, Deportes Tolima scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Deportes Tolima matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC, with Deportes Tolima as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Envigado FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Deportes Tolima is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession. 👉 Deportes Tolima has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Envigado FC playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Envigado FC as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC for the Colombia Primera A – 6 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1216337 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC

Is betting on Deportes Tolima worth it?

🔵 Deportes Tolima: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 93.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 930 times – this would give you a profit of $260.40
• And would have lost other 70 times – with a loss of -$70.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$190.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $228.00;
• And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$712.00.

Should you bet on Envigado FC?

🔴 Envigado FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 10.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $90.40
• And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$899.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Deportes Tolima
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Deportes Tolima and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Deportes Tolima.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Envigado FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportes Tolima x Envigado FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.