Deportes Tolima x Junior Betting tips for April 16 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Deportes Tolima x Junior, Wednesday, 16/4/2025

📅 16/4/2025 01:30

Deportes Tolima 1.94

X 3.05

Junior 4.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Deportes Tolima x Junior:

🔮 Deportes Tolima wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportes Tolima, you can win up to $970.00!

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The main points for the tip for Deportes Tolima x Junior: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportes Tolima in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-17.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Junior in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $335.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Deportes Tolima scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Junior scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Deportes Tolima is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Junior has not lost any of them.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Deportes Tolima x Junior?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Deportes Tolima x Junior, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Deportes Tolima x Junior for the Colombia Primera A – 16 of April

When the best bet on Deportes Tolima x Junior is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304965 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportes Tolima x Junior

Is it worth betting on Deportes Tolima?

🔵 Deportes Tolima: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.94. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 690 times – this would give you a profit of $648.60
• And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$338.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $451.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$329.00.

Should you bet on Junior?

🔴 Junior: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $310.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$590.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Deportes Tolima x Junior

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Deportes Tolima
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportes Tolima x Junior

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Deportes Tolima, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Deportes Tolima.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportes Tolima x Junior

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.