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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Deportiva Venados x Tampico Madero Betting tips for November 25 in Mexico Segunda Division
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Mexico Segunda Division
Deportiva Venados Deportiva Venados
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 30% 1 X 2
Tampico Madero Tampico Madero
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Deportiva Venados x Tampico Madero Betting tips for November 25 in Mexico Segunda Division

Our betting tip for Deportiva Venados x Tampico Madero, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
17:00
Deportiva Venados Deportiva Venados
2.10
X
3.20
Tampico Madero Tampico Madero
3.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Deportiva Venados x Tampico Madero:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!

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Important information for your tip for Deportiva Venados x Tampico Madero:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportiva Venados in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $335.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tampico Madero in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-194.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Tampico Madero did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Deportiva Venados scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Deportiva Venados matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Deportiva Venados conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Tampico Madero has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Deportiva Venados x Tampico Madero

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Summary

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Analysis from Deportiva Venados x Tampico Madero for the Mexico Segunda Division – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Deportiva Venados X Tampico Madero – Mexico Segunda Division
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 17:00
๐Ÿ”ต Deportiva Venados – Winning probability: 29.12% | Fair line: 3.43
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 40.78% | Fair line: 2.45
๐Ÿ”ด Tampico Madero – Winning probability: 30.11% | Fair line: 3.32
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Deportiva Venados
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Deportiva Venados x Tampico Madero is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportiva Venados x Tampico Madero

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportiva Venados?

๐Ÿ”ต Deportiva Venados: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $319.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$391.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $902.00
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$312.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Tampico Madero?

๐Ÿ”ด Tampico Madero: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$40.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportiva Venados x Tampico Madero

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Deportiva Venados
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportiva Venados x Tampico Madero

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Deportiva Venados, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Deportiva Venados.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Tampico Madero.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportiva Venados x Tampico Madero

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves