Deportivo Garcilaso x Carlos Manucci Betting tips for October 19 in Peru Liga 1
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19/10/2024 01:00 |
 Deportivo Garcilaso1.40 |
X 4.30 |
Carlos Manucci  6.60 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Deportivo Garcilaso x Carlos Manucci:
๐ฎ Deportivo Garcilaso wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo Garcilaso, you can win up to $700.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Deportivo Garcilaso x Carlos Manucci: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Garcilaso in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $53.0. |
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Analysis from Deportivo Garcilaso x Carlos Manucci for the Peru Liga 1 – 19 of October
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๐๏ธ Deportivo Garcilaso X Carlos Manucci – Peru Liga 1 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Deportivo Garcilaso and Carlos Manucci.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1202780 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Garcilaso x Carlos Manucci
Is betting on Deportivo Garcilaso worth it?
๐ต Deportivo Garcilaso: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 84.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 840 times – this would give you a profit of $336.00
- And would have lost other 160 times – with a loss of -$160.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$176.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $363.00;
- And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$527.00.
Should you bet on Carlos Manucci?
๐ด Carlos Manucci: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $280.00
- And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$670.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Garcilaso x Carlos Manucci
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Deportivo Garcilaso
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Garcilaso x Carlos Manucci
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Deportivo Garcilaso, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Deportivo Garcilaso.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Deportivo Garcilaso.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Garcilaso x Carlos Manucci
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
