Deportivo La Guaira x Carabobo Betting tips for November 3 in Venezuela Primera Division
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3/11/2024 23:30 |
 Deportivo La Guaira2.01 |
X 2.98 |
Carabobo  3.45 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Deportivo La Guaira x Carabobo:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Deportivo La Guaira x Carabobo
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Some important points for the tip for Deportivo La Guaira x Carabobo: π If you had bet $100 on Deportivo La Guaira in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $263.0. |
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Analysis from Deportivo La Guaira x Carabobo for the Venezuela Primera Division – 3 of November
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ποΈ Deportivo La Guaira X Carabobo – Venezuela Primera Division |
When the best bet on Deportivo La Guaira x Carabobo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1214939 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportivo La Guaira x Carabobo
Should you bet on Deportivo La Guaira?
π΅ Deportivo La Guaira: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.01. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 390 times – profiting $393.90;
- And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$216.10.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $633.60
- And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$46.40.
Should you bet on Carabobo?
π΄ Carabobo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $710.50;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just π°$0.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo La Guaira x Carabobo
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Deportivo La Guaira
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo La Guaira x Carabobo
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Deportivo La Guaira, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Deportivo La Guaira.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo La Guaira x Carabobo
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
