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Home Β» Predictions Β» Deportivo Madryn x Gimnasia Mendoza Betting tips for November 17 in Argentina Nacional B
Sunday, 17 November 2024, 20h00 Argentina Nacional B
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
PREDICTION No tip
Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza
Don't miss this prediction!

Deportivo Madryn x Gimnasia Mendoza Betting tips for November 17 in Argentina Nacional B

Our betting tip for Deportivo Madryn x Gimnasia Mendoza, Sunday, 17/11/2024
πŸ“… 17/11/2024
20:00
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
1.88
X
2.90
Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza
4.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Deportivo Madryn x Gimnasia Mendoza:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Deportivo Madryn x Gimnasia Mendoza

Some important points for the tip for Deportivo Madryn x Gimnasia Mendoza:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Madryn in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $103.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gimnasia Mendoza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
πŸ‘‰ Gimnasia Mendoza did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 Gimnasia Mendoza matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Gimnasia Mendoza has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Deportivo Madryn x Gimnasia Mendoza?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Deportivo Madryn x Gimnasia Mendoza, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Deportivo Madryn x Gimnasia Mendoza for the Argentina Nacional B – 17 of November

🏟️ Deportivo Madryn X Gimnasia Mendoza – Argentina Nacional B
πŸ“… 17 of November, 2024 – 20:00
πŸ”΅ Deportivo Madryn – Winning probability: 49.70% | Fair line: 2.01
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.56% | Fair line: 2.89
πŸ”΄ Gimnasia Mendoza – Winning probability: 15.74% | Fair line: 6.35
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Deportivo Madryn
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportivo Madryn x Gimnasia Mendoza right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1221437 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Madryn x Gimnasia Mendoza

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Madryn?

πŸ”΅ Deportivo Madryn: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $440.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$60.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $665.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$15.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gimnasia Mendoza?

πŸ”΄ Gimnasia Mendoza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$280.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Madryn x Gimnasia Mendoza

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Deportivo Madryn
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Madryn x Gimnasia Mendoza

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Deportivo Madryn and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Deportivo Madryn.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Gimnasia Mendoza.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Madryn x Gimnasia Mendoza

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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