Deportivo Maipu x Patronato Parana Betting tips for March 16 in Argentina Nacional B

Our betting tip for Deportivo Maipu x Patronato Parana, Sunday, 16/3/2025

📅 16/3/2025 20:30

Deportivo Maipu 2.20

X 2.90

Patronato Parana 3.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Deportivo Maipu x Patronato Parana:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Deportivo Maipu x Patronato Parana

The main points for the tip for Deportivo Maipu x Patronato Parana: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Maipu in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Patronato Parana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $72.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Patronato Parana conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Deportivo Maipu x Patronato Parana for the Argentina Nacional B – 16 of March

When the best bet on Deportivo Maipu x Patronato Parana is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1282248 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Maipu x Patronato Parana

Is it worth betting on Deportivo Maipu?

🔵 Deportivo Maipu: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $576.00;
• And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$56.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $551.00
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$159.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Patronato Parana?

🔴 Patronato Parana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $552.00
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$218.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Maipu x Patronato Parana

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Deportivo Maipu
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Maipu x Patronato Parana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Deportivo Maipu and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Deportivo Maipu.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Maipu x Patronato Parana

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.