Deportivo Maldonado x Danubio Betting tips for December 2 in Uruguay Clausura
| 📅 2/12/2024 22:00 |
 Deportivo Maldonado3.41 |
X 3.05 |
Danubio  2.13 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Deportivo Maldonado x Danubio:
🔮 Danubio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Danubio, you can win up to $1065.00!
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The main points for the tip for Deportivo Maldonado x Danubio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Maldonado in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Deportivo Maldonado x Danubio for the Uruguay Clausura – 2 of December
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🏟️ Deportivo Maldonado X Danubio – Uruguay Clausura |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportivo Maldonado x Danubio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1231409 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Maldonado x Danubio
Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Maldonado?
🔵 Deportivo Maldonado: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.41. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – profiting $192.80;
- And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$727.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $266.50;
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$603.50.
Is betting on Danubio worth it?
🔴 Danubio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 78.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.13. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 790 times – having a profit of $892.70;
- And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$682.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Maldonado x Danubio
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Deportivo Maldonado
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Maldonado x Danubio
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Deportivo Maldonado and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Deportivo Maldonado.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Danubio.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Maldonado x Danubio
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
