Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju Betting tips for November 28 in Guatemala Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju, Thursday, 28/11/2024

📅 28/11/2024 21:00

Deportivo Mixco 2.15

X 3.00

Xelaju 3.32

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju

Important information for your tip for Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Mixco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $113.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Xelaju in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $195.0. 👉 Deportivo Mixco did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 Deportivo Mixco matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju, with Deportivo Mixco as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Xelaju conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju for the Guatemala Liga Nacional – 28 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Deportivo Mixco and Xelaju.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229347 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Mixco?

🔵 Deportivo Mixco: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $471.50
• And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$118.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $700.00
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$50.00.

Should you bet on Xelaju?

🔴 Xelaju: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $533.60;
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$236.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportivo Mixco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Deportivo Mixco, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Deportivo Mixco.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Deportivo Mixco.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.