Deportivo Ocotal x Diriangen Betting tips for September 29 in Nicaragua Apertura

Our betting tip for Deportivo Ocotal x Diriangen, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 21:00

Deportivo Ocotal 3.60

X 3.75

Diriangen 1.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Deportivo Ocotal x Diriangen:

🔮 Diriangen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Diriangen, you can win up to $875.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Deportivo Ocotal x Diriangen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Ocotal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Diriangen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Deportivo Ocotal scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Diriangen scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Diriangen conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Deportivo Ocotal conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Diriangen. 👉 Even as a visitor, Diriangen won the last 3 head-to-head matches Deportivo Ocotal´s territory

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Analysis from Deportivo Ocotal x Diriangen for the Nicaragua Apertura – 29 of September

When the best bet on Deportivo Ocotal x Diriangen is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191083 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Ocotal x Diriangen

Is betting on Deportivo Ocotal worth it?

🔵 Deportivo Ocotal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $312.00
• And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$568.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $632.50;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$137.50.

Should you bet on Diriangen?

🔴 Diriangen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $487.50
• And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$137.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Ocotal x Diriangen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Deportivo Ocotal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Ocotal x Diriangen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Deportivo Ocotal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Deportivo Ocotal.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Deportivo Ocotal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Ocotal x Diriangen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.