Deportivo Pasto x Alianza Betting tips for September 29 in Colombia Primera A
| 📅 29/9/2024 22:30 |
 Deportivo Pasto1.85 |
X 3.10 |
Alianza  4.25 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Deportivo Pasto x Alianza:
🔮 Deportivo Pasto wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo Pasto, you can win up to $925.00!
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The main points for the tip for Deportivo Pasto x Alianza: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Pasto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $140.0. |
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Analysis from Deportivo Pasto x Alianza for the Colombia Primera A – 29 of September
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🏟️ Deportivo Pasto X Alianza – Colombia Primera A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportivo Pasto x Alianza right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191083 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Pasto x Alianza
Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Pasto?
🔵 Deportivo Pasto: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 620 times – profiting $527.00;
- And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$147.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $546.00;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$194.00.
Should you bet on Alianza?
🔴 Alianza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $390.00;
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$490.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Pasto x Alianza
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportivo Pasto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Pasto x Alianza
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Deportivo Pasto, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Deportivo Pasto.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Deportivo Pasto.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Pasto x Alianza
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
