Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Nacional Medellin Betting tips for November 24 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Nacional Medellin, Sunday, 24/11/2024

📅 24/11/2024 20:00

Deportivo Pasto 2.09

X 3.00

Atletico Nacional Medellin 3.58

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Nacional Medellin:

🔮 Atletico Nacional Medellin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Nacional Medellin, you can win up to $1790.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Nacional Medellin: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Pasto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $3.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Nacional Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-55.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Deportivo Pasto scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Atletico Nacional Medellin matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Deportivo Pasto matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Deportivo Pasto conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Atletico Nacional Medellin conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Deportivo Pasto conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Atletico Nacional Medellin. 👉 Deportivo Pasto is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Nacional Medellin?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Nacional Medellin, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Nacional Medellin for the Colombia Primera A – 24 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Deportivo Pasto and Atletico Nacional Medellin.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1226364 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Nacional Medellin

Is betting on Deportivo Pasto worth it?

🔵 Deportivo Pasto: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.09. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $392.40
• And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$247.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $520.00;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin?

🔴 Atletico Nacional Medellin: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $980.40;
• And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$360.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Nacional Medellin

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Deportivo Pasto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Nacional Medellin

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Deportivo Pasto and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Deportivo Pasto.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Atletico Nacional Medellin.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Nacional Medellin

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.