Deportivo Pasto x Millonarios Betting tips for December 9 in Colombia Primera A
| 📅 9/12/2024 00:00 |
 Deportivo Pasto3.25 |
X 2.88 |
Millonarios  2.28 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Deportivo Pasto x Millonarios:
🔮 Deportivo Pasto wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo Pasto, you can win up to $1625.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Deportivo Pasto x Millonarios: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Pasto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $265.0. |
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Analysis from Deportivo Pasto x Millonarios for the Colombia Primera A – 9 of December
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🏟️ Deportivo Pasto X Millonarios – Colombia Primera A |
When the best bet on Deportivo Pasto x Millonarios is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1234007 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Pasto x Millonarios
Is it worth betting on Deportivo Pasto?
🔵 Deportivo Pasto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $495.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$285.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $545.20;
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$164.80.
Should you bet on Millonarios?
🔴 Millonarios: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $627.20
- And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$117.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Pasto x Millonarios
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Deportivo Pasto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Pasto x Millonarios
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Deportivo Pasto, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Deportivo Pasto.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Millonarios.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Pasto x Millonarios
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
