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Home » Predictions » Others » Deportivo Pereira x Atletico Nacional Medellin Betting tips for November 8 in Colombia Primera A
Friday, 08 November 2024, 01h45 Colombia Primera A
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 37% 1 X 2
Atletico Nacional Medellin Atletico Nacional Medellin
ODD: @2.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Deportivo Pereira x Atletico Nacional Medellin Betting tips for November 8 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Deportivo Pereira x Atletico Nacional Medellin, Friday, 8/11/2024
📅 8/11/2024
01:45
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
2.51
X
2.85
Atletico Nacional Medellin Atletico Nacional Medellin
2.87

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Deportivo Pereira x Atletico Nacional Medellin:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1425.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Deportivo Pereira x Atletico Nacional Medellin:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Pereira in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $178.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Nacional Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $245.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 1.0 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Deportivo Pereira matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pereira x Atletico Nacional Medellin, with Deportivo Pereira as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Atletico Nacional Medellin is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Deportivo Pereira x Atletico Nacional Medellin for the Colombia Primera A – 8 of November

🏟️ Deportivo Pereira X Atletico Nacional Medellin – Colombia Primera A
📅 8 of November, 2024 – 01:45
🔵 Deportivo Pereira – Winning probability: 28.64% | Fair line: 3.49
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 37.18% | Fair line: 2.69
🔴 Atletico Nacional Medellin – Winning probability: 34.18% | Fair line: 2.93
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Deportivo Pereira
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportivo Pereira x Atletico Nacional Medellin right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1218004 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Pereira x Atletico Nacional Medellin

Should you bet on Deportivo Pereira?

🔵 Deportivo Pereira: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.51. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $437.90;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$272.10.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $684.50;
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$54.50.

Is it worth betting on Atletico Nacional Medellin?

🔴 Atletico Nacional Medellin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $635.80
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$24.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Pereira x Atletico Nacional Medellin

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Deportivo Pereira
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Pereira x Atletico Nacional Medellin

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Deportivo Pereira and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Deportivo Pereira. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Pereira x Atletico Nacional Medellin

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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