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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Deportivo Pereira x Patriotas FC Betting tips for September 20 in Colombia Primera A
Friday, 20 September 2024, 22h00 Colombia Primera A
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
PREDICTION Deportivo Pereira wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Patriotas FC Patriotas FC
ODD: @1.67 Don't miss this prediction!

Deportivo Pereira x Patriotas FC Betting tips for September 20 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Deportivo Pereira x Patriotas FC, Friday, 20/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 20/9/2024
22:00
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
1.67
X
3.26
Patriotas FC Patriotas FC
5.03

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Deportivo Pereira x Patriotas FC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Deportivo Pereira wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo Pereira, you can win up to $835.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Deportivo Pereira x Patriotas FC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Pereira in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-126.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Patriotas FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Deportivo Pereira matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Patriotas FC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Patriotas FC conceded at least 3 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Patriotas FC as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Deportivo Pereira x Patriotas FC for the Colombia Primera A – 20 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Deportivo Pereira X Patriotas FC – Colombia Primera A
๐Ÿ“… 20 of September, 2024 – 22:00
๐Ÿ”ต Deportivo Pereira – Winning probability: 59.01% | Fair line: 1.69
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.00% | Fair line: 3.33
๐Ÿ”ด Patriotas FC – Winning probability: 10.99% | Fair line: 9.1
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Deportivo Pereira
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Deportivo Pereira and Patriotas FC.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184423 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportivo Pereira x Patriotas FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Pereira?

๐Ÿ”ต Deportivo Pereira: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 59.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $395.30
  • And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$14.70.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $678.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$22.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Patriotas FC?

๐Ÿ”ด Patriotas FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.03. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $443.30;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$446.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Pereira x Patriotas FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Deportivo Pereira
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Pereira x Patriotas FC

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Deportivo Pereira, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Deportivo Pereira.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Patriotas FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Pereira x Patriotas FC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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