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Home » Predictions » Others » Deportivo Riestra x Atlético Tucumán Betting tips for October 18 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Friday, 18 October 2024, 18h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
Atlético Tucumán Atlético Tucumán
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Deportivo Riestra x Atlético Tucumán Betting tips for October 18 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Deportivo Riestra x Atlético Tucumán, Friday, 18/10/2024
📅 18/10/2024
18:00
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
2.32
X
3.00
Atlético Tucumán Atlético Tucumán
3.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Deportivo Riestra x Atlético Tucumán:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

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Important information for your tip for Deportivo Riestra x Atlético Tucumán:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Riestra in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $695.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atlético Tucumán in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Deportivo Riestra scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Deportivo Riestra x Atlético Tucumán for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 18 of October

🏟️ Deportivo Riestra X Atlético Tucumán – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 18 of October, 2024 – 18:00
🔵 Deportivo Riestra – Winning probability: 32.19% | Fair line: 3.11
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.90% | Fair line: 2.87
🔴 Atlético Tucumán – Winning probability: 32.91% | Fair line: 3.04
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Deportivo Riestra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Deportivo Riestra x Atlético Tucumán is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203336 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportivo Riestra x Atlético Tucumán

Is betting on Deportivo Riestra worth it?

🔵 Deportivo Riestra: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $422.40
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$257.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $700.00
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$50.00.

Is betting on Atlético Tucumán worth it?

🔴 Atlético Tucumán: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $660.00;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$10.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Riestra x Atlético Tucumán

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Deportivo Riestra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Riestra x Atlético Tucumán

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Deportivo Riestra and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Deportivo Riestra.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Deportivo Riestra.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Riestra x Atlético Tucumán

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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