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Home » Predictions » Others » Deportivo Riestra x Velez Sarsfield Betting tips for November 11 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Monday, 11 November 2024, 19h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
PREDICTION Velez Sarsfield Wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
ODD: @2.16 Don't miss this prediction!

Deportivo Riestra x Velez Sarsfield Betting tips for November 11 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Deportivo Riestra x Velez Sarsfield, Monday, 11/11/2024
📅 11/11/2024
19:00
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
3.61
X
3.20
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
2.16

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Deportivo Riestra x Velez Sarsfield:

🔮 Velez Sarsfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Velez Sarsfield, you can win up to $1080.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Deportivo Riestra x Velez Sarsfield:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Riestra in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $378.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Velez Sarsfield in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-75.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Velez Sarsfield conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Deportivo Riestra x Velez Sarsfield for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 11 of November

🏟️ Deportivo Riestra X Velez Sarsfield – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 11 of November, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Deportivo Riestra – Winning probability: 8.98% | Fair line: 11.14
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.53% | Fair line: 4.08
🔴 Velez Sarsfield – Winning probability: 66.50% | Fair line: 1.5
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Deportivo Riestra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Deportivo Riestra x Velez Sarsfield is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1219319 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportivo Riestra x Velez Sarsfield

Is it worth betting on Deportivo Riestra?

🔵 Deportivo Riestra: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $234.90
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$675.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$200.00.

Is betting on Velez Sarsfield worth it?

🔴 Velez Sarsfield: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.16. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – profiting $765.60;
  • And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$425.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Riestra x Velez Sarsfield

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Deportivo Riestra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Riestra x Velez Sarsfield

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Deportivo Riestra, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Deportivo Riestra.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Velez Sarsfield.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Riestra x Velez Sarsfield

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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