Deportivo Saprissa x Municipal Perez Zeledon Betting tips for January 17 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Deportivo Saprissa x Municipal Perez Zeledon, Friday, 17/1/2025

📅 17/1/2025 02:00

Deportivo Saprissa 1.37

X 4.50

Municipal Perez Zeledon 7.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Deportivo Saprissa x Municipal Perez Zeledon:

🔮 Deportivo Saprissa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo Saprissa, you can win up to $685.00!

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Important information for your tip for Deportivo Saprissa x Municipal Perez Zeledon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Saprissa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $170.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Municipal Perez Zeledon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Deportivo Saprissa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Municipal Perez Zeledon, Deportivo Saprissa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Deportivo Saprissa is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Deportivo Saprissa has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Municipal Perez Zeledon playing at home.

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Analysis from Deportivo Saprissa x Municipal Perez Zeledon for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 17 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportivo Saprissa x Municipal Perez Zeledon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1246713 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Saprissa x Municipal Perez Zeledon

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Saprissa?

🔵 Deportivo Saprissa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 82.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 830 times – profiting $307.10;
• And would lose other 170 times – losing -$170.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$137.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $490.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$370.00.

Should you bet on Municipal Perez Zeledon?

🔴 Municipal Perez Zeledon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $240.00
• And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$720.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Saprissa x Municipal Perez Zeledon

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Deportivo Saprissa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Saprissa x Municipal Perez Zeledon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Deportivo Saprissa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Deportivo Saprissa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Deportivo Saprissa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Saprissa x Municipal Perez Zeledon

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.