Deportivo Saprissa x Santa Ana Betting tips for December 1 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Deportivo Saprissa x Santa Ana, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 21:00

Deportivo Saprissa 1.28

X 5.00

Santa Ana 7.92

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Deportivo Saprissa x Santa Ana:

🔮 Deportivo Saprissa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo Saprissa, you can win up to $640.00!

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The main points for the tip for Deportivo Saprissa x Santa Ana: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Saprissa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $8.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Santa Ana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Deportivo Saprissa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Deportivo Saprissa matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Santa Ana conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Santa Ana as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Deportivo Saprissa x Santa Ana for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportivo Saprissa x Santa Ana right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230541 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Saprissa x Santa Ana

Should you bet on Deportivo Saprissa?

🔵 Deportivo Saprissa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 89.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 900 times – this would give you a profit of $252.00
• And would lose other 100 times – having a loss of -$100.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$152.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $320.00;
• And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$600.00.

Is it worth betting on Santa Ana?

🔴 Santa Ana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $138.40
• And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$841.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Saprissa x Santa Ana

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Deportivo Saprissa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Saprissa x Santa Ana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Deportivo Saprissa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Deportivo Saprissa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Santa Ana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Saprissa x Santa Ana

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.