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Home » Predictions » Others » Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo Betting tips for December 1 in Venezuela Primera Division
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 23h00 Venezuela Primera Division
Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira
PREDICTION Deportivo Tachira wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Carabobo Carabobo
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo Betting tips for December 1 in Venezuela Primera Division

Our betting tip for Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
23:00
Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira
1.70
X
3.20
Carabobo Carabobo
4.84

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo:

🔮 Deportivo Tachira wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo Tachira, you can win up to $850.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Tachira in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $137.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Carabobo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Deportivo Tachira scored at least 1.0 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Carabobo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Carabobo, Deportivo Tachira scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Deportivo Tachira conceded at least 1.0 goal(s).
👉 Deportivo Tachira has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Carabobo playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo for the Venezuela Primera Division – 1 of December

🏟️ Deportivo Tachira X Carabobo – Venezuela Primera Division
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 23:00
🔵 Deportivo Tachira – Winning probability: 66.57% | Fair line: 1.5
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.20% | Fair line: 3.97
🔴 Carabobo – Winning probability: 8.24% | Fair line: 12.14
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Deportivo Tachira
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Deportivo Tachira and Carabobo.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230541 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo

Should you bet on Deportivo Tachira?

🔵 Deportivo Tachira: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 66.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – profiting $469.00;
  • And would lose other 330 times – having a loss of -$330.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$139.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $550.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$200.00.

Is it worth betting on Carabobo?

🔴 Carabobo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $307.20;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$612.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Deportivo Tachira
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Deportivo Tachira and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Deportivo Tachira.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Deportivo Tachira.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Tachira x Carabobo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 1.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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